A tropical system in the Caribbean has a near 100% chance of development, likely forming a tropical depression by early next week, according to the National Hurricane Center. A Hurricane Watch is in effect for the Cayman Islands and a Tropical Storm Warning for Jamaica. Another system near Hispaniola shows low development potential as it may merge with the stronger wave. Subtropical Storm Patty is affecting the Azores with sustained winds of 50 mph and is predicted to weaken.
The National Hurricane Center reported that a tropical system currently situated in the Caribbean exhibits an almost definitive probability of development, with estimates suggesting a near 100% chance as it progresses to the north or northwest. This system is anticipated to gradually develop over the upcoming days, with expectations of a tropical depression forming by Monday or Tuesday. In the immediate future, the system possesses a near 100% chance for development within a 48-hour period, and similarly, a near 100% possibility over the subsequent week. The Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to survey the wave on Sunday for further analysis. Meteorologist Eric Stone from Max Defender 8 noted that forecasts indicate this system could migrate into the central Gulf of Mexico, leading to its evolution into a tropical depression early in the week with potential escalation to a tropical storm by Tuesday or Wednesday. A Hurricane Watch has been officially established for the Cayman Islands, while Jamaica has been placed under a Tropical Storm Warning. Additionally, there exists another tropical system developing slowly in the Caribbean, located just north of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico. In the latest update by the National Hurricane Center at 1 p.m., this secondary wave is projected to merge with the stronger system by Monday as it continues its westward motion, presenting only a 20% likelihood of development within the week. Meanwhile, Subtropical Storm Patty, located in the far eastern Atlantic, is currently impacting the Azores. The storm is producing sustained winds of up to 50 miles per hour and is expected to weaken in the ensuing days.
Tropical waves are weather systems characterized by the eastward moving area of low pressure that can lead to the development of storms and hurricanes. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) closely monitors these systems to provide warnings and forecasts to coastal regions that may be affected. The current tropical wave in the Caribbean shows significant potential for development, signaling an important meteorological phenomenon that could lead to severe weather conditions. Understanding the behavioral patterns of tropical systems is essential for timely public safety measures and effective resource allocation in the event of storm formations.
In summary, there is a high chance of development for the tropical system in the Caribbean, with the National Hurricane Center suggesting that a tropical depression may form as early as Monday or Tuesday. The potential impact extends to the Cayman Islands and Jamaica, which have issued relevant warnings. Meanwhile, the situation with the second system appears less promising, with a low probability of development as it may be absorbed by the stronger tropical system.
Original Source: www.newsnationnow.com
