Egypt seeks to co-lead a new AU mission in Somalia to combat Al Shabab, as part of its strategy to increase regional influence amid tensions with Ethiopia over water security issues. The initiative includes military support to Somalia and aims to reposition regional forces within the AU framework, particularly concerning Ethiopian troops.
In forthcoming discussions, Egypt will express its desire to co-lead a newly established African Union (AU) mission in Somalia, aimed at countering the Al Shabab militant group. Egypt’s involvement in the mission is seen as a strategic move to enhance its regional influence, particularly in light of its ongoing rivalry with Ethiopia over water security issues related to the Nile. Cairo has been proactive in expanding its military presence in the region, which includes existing bases in Eritrea and Djibouti, and military agreements with several Nile basin countries. Egypt has already deployed troops to Somalia to train local forces and provide military aid, thus reinforcing its commitment to the proposed AU mission. The newly formed African Union Support and Stabilisation Mission in Somalia (Aussom) will replace the previous AU Transition Mission (Atmis), which concluded its mandate at the end of December 2023. Notably, tensions regarding Ethiopian troop presence in Somalia remain, as Somalia seeks assurances regarding the legality of these forces under the new mission framework. Furthermore, high-level meetings between Egyptian and Somali officials reaffirm the cooperative military relationship, setting the stage for Egypt’s prominent role in the upcoming mission. The evolving dynamics between Egypt, Somalia, and Ethiopia signal significant geopolitical maneuvering that could shape future relations in the region.
The announcement regarding Egypt’s intent to lead the new AU mission in Somalia stems from a long-standing regional conflict primarily driven by the Nile River’s water dispute between Egypt and Ethiopia. This conflict has compelled Egypt to cultivate stronger military and diplomatic ties within Africa, particularly with countries that share its security concerns. Ethiopia’s ongoing construction of a massive dam on the Blue Nile has exacerbated tensions, threatening Egypt’s crucial water supply. Moreover, Somalia’s unique geopolitical position and its struggles with Al Shabab make it a focal point for Egypt’s strategic military partnerships in the Horn of Africa, as Egypt seeks to diminish Ethiopia’s regional dominance.
In summary, Egypt’s intention to co-lead the new African Union mission in Somalia reflects its broader strategy to reinforce its military presence in the Horn of Africa while addressing the threats posed by Al Shabab. This initiative not only underscores Egypt’s commitment to bolstering regional security but also highlights its ongoing rivalry with Ethiopia concerning water rights and influence in East Africa. The cooperation with Somalia and other nations in the region is crucial for Egypt as it navigates the complex geopolitical landscape.
Original Source: www.thenationalnews.com