Three hurricanes have affected Florida in November: one in 1935, another in 1985, and one in 2022. The anticipated arrival of Hurricane Sara could set new records this season. The continued rise in ocean temperatures contributes to an increasing likelihood of late-season storms, highlighting the evolving patterns of hurricane activity due to climate change.
As the Atlantic hurricane season approaches its end, there is ongoing concern regarding hurricanes affecting Florida in November. Historical data indicates that only three hurricanes have made landfall in Florida during this month since record-keeping began: an unnamed hurricane in 1935, Hurricane Kate in 1985, and Hurricane Nicole in 2022. Notably, should the anticipated storm, named Sara, impact Florida, it would mark a record-breaking event, being the fourth hurricane to strike the state in a single season, further emphasizing the changing climate and warmer ocean temperatures that bolster the likelihood of late-season storms. In general, hurricanes in November are rare, as ocean temperatures typically decline at this time of year, reducing the potential for tropical cyclone development. However, this year, significant ocean heat remains, keeping conditions favorable for storm formation. Ryan Truchelut from WeatherTiger noted, “Total oceanic heat content of the Gulf has slightly increased in the last three weeks… the heat content of the Caribbean remains well above what it would typically be at the peak of the season in mid-September.” Additionally, the phenomenon of increased ocean temperatures is reflected in the historical context of late-season hurricanes. Beyond the three notable hurricanes that have made landfall in Florida, several other hurricanes have occurred in November but did not directly strike the U.S. For example, Hurricane Eta reached Category 5 strength but ultimately made landfall in Florida as a tropical storm after causing destruction elsewhere. The Atlantic hurricane season officially spans from June 1 through November 30, yet storm formations may occur outside these dates. This year’s trends highlight the need for continued monitoring and preparedness, particularly as climate change may contribute to the increased intensity and frequency of storms during typically quiet months.
Historically, hurricanes making landfall in Florida during November are uncommon. Among the recorded events, the hurricanes that have impacted Florida in this month are notable for their rarity. An analysis of past hurricanes indicates only three instances since records began: an unnamed hurricane in 1935, Hurricane Kate in 1985, and Hurricane Nicole in 2022. With rising ocean temperatures potentially increasing the chances of such occurrences, there is heightened concern regarding the future impact of hurricanes during late-season months. This concern is underscored by recent patterns suggesting warmer seas may fuel significant storms well into the traditionally dormant winter months.
In conclusion, the occurrence of hurricanes in Florida during November remains infrequent, with only three recorded making landfall since the start of systematic tracking. However, as ocean temperatures continue to rise, the likelihood of such storms may be increasing, necessitating ongoing vigilance and preparedness among communities. The anticipated storm Sara exemplifies this emerging trend and serves as a reminder of the changing dynamics of hurricane activity due to climate variability.
Original Source: www.gainesville.com
