The article discusses the mixed sentiments surrounding Donald Trump’s possible return to the presidency amidst a summit in Saudi Arabia with Arab and Islamic leaders. While many Gulf nations see Trump as a stabilizing force, especially with respect to Israel and Iran, the region’s dynamics have shifted, reflecting optimism and uncertainty about future developments.
As leaders of Arab and Islamic nations congregate in Saudi Arabia for a summit, speculation arises regarding the implications of a potential second term for Donald Trump on the Middle East. In contrast to apprehensions expressed in Europe regarding Trump’s unpredictability, Gulf Arab countries perceive him as a stabilizing force. Prominent UAE business figure Khalaf al-Habtoor noted, “In a Middle East where security is paramount, Trump’s focus on strengthening alliances and curbing extremist forces offers a way forward.” In Saudi Arabia, Trump is favorably regarded compared to President Joe Biden. Trump notably chose Riyadh for his initial overseas visit in 2017, through facilitation by Rupert Murdoch. His close ties with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MBS), established through his son-in-law Jared Kushner, further enhance his favorable perception, especially after Biden’s comments labeling Saudi Arabia a pariah due to human rights concerns. Trump’s record regarding the Middle East is multifaceted. While he garnered Israeli support by recognizing Jerusalem as its capital and endorsing Israel’s annexation of the Golan Heights, he simultaneously facilitated the Abraham Accords, enabling the UAE, Bahrain, and Morocco to establish diplomatic relations with Israel. His application of a hawkish approach towards Iran culminated in the withdrawal from the Iran nuclear deal in 2018, which he denounced as “the worst deal in history.” This action aligned with regional sentiments that the agreement inadequately addressed Iran’s ballistic missile initiatives and inadvertently funded militant proxies in the area. The assassination of Qasem Soleimani, a leading figure in Iran’s Revolutionary Guards, further exemplified his aggressive stance, which resonated positively with Gulf Arab states. However, the geopolitical landscape today has evolved since Trump’s departure from office. Israel is currently in conflict with Hamas and Hezbollah, and tensions have escalated with Iranian-backed forces. Under the Biden administration, the United States’ influence in the region appears diminished, particularly as it struggles to restrain Israeli military actions amidst ongoing confrontations in Gaza and Lebanon. Trump’s potential return is presumed to provide Israel with greater latitude to target Iranian interests, especially concerning oil and nuclear facilities that the Biden administration deemed protected. As former Israeli intelligence officer Joshua Steinrich explains, “His staunch support for Israel and aggressive stance towards Iran’s destabilizing efforts made him a key ally in the region, and his return to power is expected to intensify efforts to limit Iran’s influence.” Yet, alongside these developments, a significant diplomatic breakthrough occurred when Saudi Arabia and Iran, facilitated by China, agreed to reconcile their long-standing differences. This accord marks a pivotal shift in regional dynamics, as evidenced by a recent meeting between military leaders from both nations. Historically, Saudi Arabia and its Sunni allies have perceived Iran as a fundamental threat to their security, exacerbated by incidents such as the 2019 drone attack attributed to Iran-backed militants. As the Arab and Islamic summit seeks resolution for conflicts in Gaza and Lebanon, the overarching sentiment reflects both optimism and uncertainty regarding the future direction of the Middle East under a possible Trump administration.
The Middle East is characterized by complex geopolitical dynamics, particularly in relation to prominent figures like Donald Trump. His foreign policy decisions have significantly shaped relationships within the region, especially among Gulf Arab nations. This article highlights current sentiments toward Trump as leaders gather for a summit in Saudi Arabia amidst changing alliances, regional conflicts, and collective security concerns.
In summary, as Arab and Islamic leaders convene amidst anticipation for Trump’s potential return, divergent views illustrate a blend of optimism and uncertainty. While some perceive Trump as a stabilizing ally, particularly concerning Israel and Iran, the evolving geopolitical landscape necessitates careful consideration of new dynamics, including improved relations between Saudi Arabia and Iran. The outcomes of this summit may shape future policies and alliances, reflecting both historic tensions and emerging collaborative efforts.
Original Source: www.bbc.com
