The National Hurricane Center reports potential storm development in the Caribbean over the next week, with a disturbance south of Jamaica at a 60% chance of becoming a tropical depression. Additional disturbances include a low-pressure trough near Puerto Rico with a 10% chance of formation and a non-tropical area of low pressure in the Atlantic at 20%. Heavy rainfall is expected in regions affected by these systems.
Forecasters report that the Caribbean remains active, with the potential for new storms to emerge in the upcoming week. As the hurricane season approaches its final month, the National Hurricane Center has been monitoring various tropical disturbances that may evolve into storms. One significant disturbance, located south of Jamaica, currently has a 60% likelihood of developing into a tropical depression within the following seven days. Meanwhile, there is only a 10% chance for this to occur in the next two days. Meteorologists have indicated that this system is expected to strengthen over the weekend or early next week, as it progresses generally toward the north and northwest. They further noted, “Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible during the next several days across portions of the area.” Additionally, a new disturbance has been identified near Puerto Rico, classified as a trough of low pressure. This system has been assigned a 10% chance of forming over the next two to seven days. Forecasters anticipate that this system may slowly develop within the next 2-3 days as it moves west-northwestward toward the Greater Antilles. However, it is expected that it will eventually merge with the existing low-pressure area over the Caribbean. Lastly, a third disturbance, which is non-tropical and located far to the north in the Atlantic, has been noted with a 20% chance of development within the next two to seven days.
The hurricane season typically spans from June 1 to November 30 in the Atlantic, posing risks of tropical storms and hurricanes primarily in the Caribbean and surrounding areas. The National Hurricane Center plays a vital role in monitoring meteorological conditions, providing forecasts and updates regarding potential tropical disturbances that could develop into storms. The likelihood of storm formation is determined by specific atmospheric conditions, such as warm ocean waters and favorable wind patterns. As such, continued vigilance and preparedness are critical as the season progresses toward its conclusion.
In summary, the Caribbean is currently under observation for potential storm development, with a significant disturbance south of Jamaica likely to strengthen into a tropical depression. The chances of formation remain varied across different systems, and the forecast implies possible heavy rainfall in affected areas regardless of storm progression. Stakeholders in coastal regions are advised to remain alert as the hurricane season draws to a close.
Original Source: www.miamiherald.com
